Contas da Bola EN

Alverca

Out of 100 simulated seasons, Alverca goes down in 2 and stays up in 98.

12 points in 11 games.

Where Alverca may finish

  • Conference League2
  • Mid-table93
  • Relegation play-off3
  • Relegation2

Final points 40.3 (33–48)

The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.

Every final position, one by one
ChampionsChampions qualifyingEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation play-offRelegation
0%5%10%15%20%Position 1: <1%1Position 2: <1%2Position 3: <1%3Position 4: 1%4Position 5: 2%5Position 6: 4%6Position 7: 5%7Position 8: 8%8Position 9: 11%9Position 10: 14%10Position 11: 16%11Position 12: 13%12Position 13: 11%13Position 14: 7%14Position 15: 5%15Position 16: 3%16Position 17: 2%17Position 18: 1%18final position
Chance of each final position. An empty cell means less than 1 in 100.
Position123456789101112131415161718
Chance1%2%4%5%8%11%14%16%13%11%7%5%3%2%1%

Next matches

All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.

The run-in

Alverca has 23 matches left, 11 at home. It is the 16th hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 45.6 points on average.

Rank1213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334
Famalicão2ndSLBAACVHMORAFCPHCPIAVSCHESLHMARASTCHGILAESTHSCPANACHALVARAVHSCBHAROASLBHACVAMORHFCPACPIHVSCA
Alverca16thACVAMORHVSCAGILHESLAMARHFCPHESTASCPHSTCASCBANACHRAVAFAMHAROASLBHCPIAACVHMORAVSCHGILAESLHMARA
Moreirense14thSTCHALVAFAMHNACAACVHRAVASCBAAROHSLBACPIHFCPHMARAVSCHGILAESLHESTASCPHSTCAALVHFAMANACHACVARAVH
Estrela da Amadora5thVSCAGILHFCPAMARHSTCAESLHSCPAALVHSCBANACHFAMARAVHACVAAROHCPIAMORHSLBAVSCHGILAFCPHMARASTCHESLA

How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Alverca, the clubs closest to it.

What we said

Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 1 of 2.

Alverca's chances, result by result

Europe (1st–5th)Relegation
0%25%50%75%100%859095results in the tableEurope (1st–5th): 5% after 81 results (to 2026-10-29)Europe (1st–5th): 3% after 88 results (to 2026-11-02)Europe (1st–5th): 3% after 90 results (to 2026-11-03)Europe (1st–5th): 2% after 98 results (to 2026-11-09)Relegation: 2% after 81 results (to 2026-10-29)Relegation: 2% after 88 results (to 2026-11-02)Relegation: 2% after 90 results (to 2026-11-03)Relegation: 2% after 98 results (to 2026-11-09)

Head to head: who finishes above?

Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Alverca finishes above its real rivals.

RivalAlverca above
Santa Clara12%
Arouca15%
Gil Vicente18%
Académico de Viseu23%
Vitória SC28%
Famalicão37%
Moreirense70%
Estrela da Amadora71%
Marítimo75%
Nacional90%
Casa Pia89%
Rio Ave92%
Estoril Praia91%

Almost always finishes below: Porto, Benfica, Sporting, Sporting de Braga