Estrela da Amadora
Out of 100 simulated seasons, Estrela da Amadora goes down in 10 and stays up in 90.
This week: up 2 for relegation (8 → 10 in 100), after losing 2–3 to Benfica.
Where Estrela da Amadora may finish
If this result happens:
- Mid-table81
- Relegation play-off9
- Relegation10
Final points 35.5 (28–43)
The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.
Every final position, one by one
| Position | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
Next matches
All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.
The run-in
Estrela da Amadora has 23 matches left, 11 at home. It is the 5th hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 48.2 points on average.
| Club | Rank | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca | 16th | ACVA | MORH | VSCA | GILH | ESLA | MARH | FCPH | ESTA | SCPH | STCA | SCBA | NACH | RAVA | FAMH | AROA | SLBH | CPIA | ACVH | MORA | VSCH | GILA | ESLH | MARA | |
| Moreirense | 14th | STCH | ALVA | FAMH | NACA | ACVH | RAVA | SCBA | AROH | SLBA | CPIH | FCPH | MARA | VSCH | GILA | ESLH | ESTA | SCPH | STCA | ALVH | FAMA | NACH | ACVA | RAVH | |
| Estrela da Amadora | 5th | VSCA | GILH | FCPA | MARH | STCA | ESLH | SCPA | ALVH | SCBA | NACH | FAMA | RAVH | ACVA | AROH | CPIA | MORH | SLBA | VSCH | GILA | FCPH | MARA | STCH | ESLA | |
| Marítimo | 11th | ESLA | NACH | SCPA | RAVH | ESTA | SCBH | ALVA | CPIA | FAMH | ACVA | AROH | SLBA | MORH | GILH | FCPA | VSCH | STCA | ESLH | NACA | SCPH | RAVA | ESTH | SCBA | ALVH |
- Very hard
- Hard
- Middle
- Easier
- H at home · A away
How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Estrela da Amadora, the clubs closest to it.
What we said
Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 1 of 2.
Estrela da Amadora's chances, result by result
Head to head: who finishes above?
Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Estrela da Amadora finishes above its real rivals.
| Rival | Estrela da Amadora above |
|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 4% |
| Arouca | 5% |
| Gil Vicente | 7% |
| Académico de Viseu | 8% |
| Vitória SC | 13% |
| Famalicão | 17% |
| Alverca | 29% |
| Moreirense | 47% |
| Marítimo | 55% |
| Nacional | 75% |
| Casa Pia | 73% |
| Rio Ave | 79% |
| Estoril Praia | 79% |
Almost always finishes below: Porto, Benfica, Sporting, Sporting de Braga