Vitória SC
Out of 100 simulated seasons, Vitória SC reaches Europe in 10.
This week: down 2 for Europe (13 → 11 in 100), after losing 1–2 to Porto.
Where Vitória SC may finish
If this result happens:
- Europa League3
- Conference League7
- Mid-table89
- Relegation play-off1
Final points 45.4 (37–53)
The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.
Every final position, one by one
| Position | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Next matches
All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.
The run-in
Vitória SC has 23 matches left, 11 at home. It is the 18th hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 44.8 points on average.
| Club | Rank | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente | 13th | ESLH | ESTA | SCPH | ALVA | AROH | NACA | RAVA | SCBH | CPIA | FAMH | ACVA | SLBH | MARA | MORH | FCPA | VSCA | STCH | ESLA | ESTH | SCPA | ALVH | AROA | NACH |
| Académico de Viseu | 12th | ALVH | FAMA | AROH | SCBA | MORA | CPIH | SLBH | STCA | MARH | FCPA | GILH | VSCA | ESTH | ESLA | SCPH | RAVA | NACH | ALVA | FAMH | AROA | SCBH | MORH | CPIA |
| Vitória SC | 18th | ESTH | ESLA | ALVH | STCA | RAVH | FAMA | AROA | SCPH | NACA | SCBH | CPIA | ACVH | MORA | SLBH | MARA | GILH | FCPA | ESTA | ESLH | ALVA | STCH | RAVA | FAMH |
| Famalicão | 2nd | SLBA | ACVH | MORA | FCPH | CPIA | VSCH | ESLH | MARA | STCH | GILA | ESTH | SCPA | NACH | ALVA | RAVH | SCBH | AROA | SLBH | ACVA | MORH | FCPA | CPIH | VSCA |
- Very hard
- Hard
- Middle
- Easier
- H at home · A away
How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Vitória SC, the clubs closest to it.
What we said
Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 1 of 2.
Vitória SC's chances, result by result
Head to head: who finishes above?
Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Vitória SC finishes above its real rivals.
| Rival | Vitória SC above |
|---|---|
| Sporting de Braga | 8% |
| Santa Clara | 28% |
| Arouca | 32% |
| Gil Vicente | 37% |
| Académico de Viseu | 42% |
| Famalicão | 58% |
| Alverca | 72% |
| Moreirense | 87% |
| Estrela da Amadora | 87% |
| Marítimo | 90% |
| Nacional | 96% |
| Casa Pia | 96% |
| Rio Ave | 97% |
Almost always finishes above: Estoril Praia