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Famalicão

Out of 100 simulated seasons, Famalicão reaches Europe in 7.

This week: down 1 for Europe (7 → 6 in 100), after beating Arouca 1–0.

13 points in 11 games.

Where Famalicão may finish

  • Europa League2
  • Conference League5
  • Mid-table92
  • Relegation play-off1

Final points 43.7 (36–51)

The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.

Every final position, one by one
ChampionsChampions qualifyingEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation play-offRelegation
0%5%10%15%Position 1: <1%1Position 2: <1%2Position 3: <1%3Position 4: 2%4Position 5: 5%5Position 6: 8%6Position 7: 10%7Position 8: 13%8Position 9: 14%9Position 10: 15%10Position 11: 12%11Position 12: 9%12Position 13: 6%13Position 14: 3%14Position 15: 2%15Position 16: 1%16Position 17: <1%17Position 18: <1%18final position
Chance of each final position. An empty cell means less than 1 in 100.
Position123456789101112131415161718
Chance2%5%8%10%13%14%15%12%9%6%3%2%1%

Next matches

All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.

The run-in

Famalicão has 23 matches left, 12 at home. It is the 2nd hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 49.4 points on average.

Matches left, round by round: Famalicão and the clubs closest to it
ClubRank1213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334
Académico de Viseu12thALVHFAMAAROHSCBAMORACPIHSLBHSTCAMARHFCPAGILHVSCAESTHESLASCPHRAVANACHALVAFAMHAROASCBHMORHCPIA
Vitória SC18thESTHESLAALVHSTCARAVHFAMAAROASCPHNACASCBHCPIAACVHMORASLBHMARAGILHFCPAESTAESLHALVASTCHRAVAFAMH
Famalicão2ndSLBAACVHMORAFCPHCPIAVSCHESLHMARASTCHGILAESTHSCPANACHALVARAVHSCBHAROASLBHACVAMORHFCPACPIHVSCA
Alverca16thACVAMORHVSCAGILHESLAMARHFCPHESTASCPHSTCASCBANACHRAVAFAMHAROASLBHCPIAACVHMORAVSCHGILAESLHMARA

How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Famalicão, the clubs closest to it.

What we said

Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 2 of 2.

Famalicão's chances, result by result

Europe (1st–5th)
0%25%50%75%100%859095results in the tableEurope (1st–5th): 12% after 81 results (to 2026-10-29)Europe (1st–5th): 7% after 88 results (to 2026-11-02)Europe (1st–5th): 7% after 90 results (to 2026-11-03)Europe (1st–5th): 6% after 98 results (to 2026-11-09)

Head to head: who finishes above?

Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Famalicão finishes above its real rivals.

Almost always finishes below: Porto, Benfica, Sporting