Famalicão
Out of 100 simulated seasons, Famalicão reaches Europe in 7.
This week: down 1 for Europe (7 → 6 in 100), after beating Arouca 1–0.
Where Famalicão may finish
If this result happens:
- Europa League2
- Conference League5
- Mid-table92
- Relegation play-off1
Final points 43.7 (36–51)
The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.
Every final position, one by one
| Position | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Next matches
All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.
The run-in
Famalicão has 23 matches left, 12 at home. It is the 2nd hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 49.4 points on average.
| Club | Rank | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Académico de Viseu | 12th | ALVH | FAMA | AROH | SCBA | MORA | CPIH | SLBH | STCA | MARH | FCPA | GILH | VSCA | ESTH | ESLA | SCPH | RAVA | NACH | ALVA | FAMH | AROA | SCBH | MORH | CPIA |
| Vitória SC | 18th | ESTH | ESLA | ALVH | STCA | RAVH | FAMA | AROA | SCPH | NACA | SCBH | CPIA | ACVH | MORA | SLBH | MARA | GILH | FCPA | ESTA | ESLH | ALVA | STCH | RAVA | FAMH |
| Famalicão | 2nd | SLBA | ACVH | MORA | FCPH | CPIA | VSCH | ESLH | MARA | STCH | GILA | ESTH | SCPA | NACH | ALVA | RAVH | SCBH | AROA | SLBH | ACVA | MORH | FCPA | CPIH | VSCA |
| Alverca | 16th | ACVA | MORH | VSCA | GILH | ESLA | MARH | FCPH | ESTA | SCPH | STCA | SCBA | NACH | RAVA | FAMH | AROA | SLBH | CPIA | ACVH | MORA | VSCH | GILA | ESLH | MARA |
- Very hard
- Hard
- Middle
- Easier
- H at home · A away
How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Famalicão, the clubs closest to it.
What we said
Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 2 of 2.
Famalicão's chances, result by result
Head to head: who finishes above?
Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Famalicão finishes above its real rivals.
| Rival | Famalicão above |
|---|---|
| Sporting de Braga | 5% |
| Santa Clara | 20% |
| Arouca | 27% |
| Gil Vicente | 29% |
| Académico de Viseu | 36% |
| Vitória SC | 42% |
| Alverca | 63% |
| Moreirense | 82% |
| Estrela da Amadora | 83% |
| Marítimo | 85% |
| Nacional | 95% |
| Casa Pia | 94% |
| Rio Ave | 97% |
| Estoril Praia | 96% |