Contas da Bola EN

Moreirense

Out of 100 simulated seasons, Moreirense goes down in 8 and stays up in 92.

This week: up 1 for relegation (7 → 8 in 100), after losing 0–1 to Sporting.

14 points in 11 games.

Where Moreirense may finish

  • Mid-table84
  • Relegation play-off8
  • Relegation8

Final points 35.9 (29–43)

The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.

Every final position, one by one
ChampionsChampions qualifyingEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation play-offRelegation
0%5%10%15%20%Position 1: <1%1Position 2: <1%2Position 3: <1%3Position 4: <1%4Position 5: <1%5Position 6: 1%6Position 7: 1%7Position 8: 3%8Position 9: 5%9Position 10: 8%10Position 11: 11%11Position 12: 15%12Position 13: 15%13Position 14: 14%14Position 15: 11%15Position 16: 8%16Position 17: 5%17Position 18: 3%18final position
Chance of each final position. An empty cell means less than 1 in 100.
Position123456789101112131415161718
Chance1%1%3%5%8%11%15%15%14%11%8%5%3%

Next matches

All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.

The run-in

Moreirense has 23 matches left, 12 at home. It is the 14th hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 45.9 points on average.

Rank111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334
Alverca16thACVAMORHVSCAGILHESLAMARHFCPHESTASCPHSTCASCBANACHRAVAFAMHAROASLBHCPIAACVHMORAVSCHGILAESLHMARA
Moreirense14thSTCHALVAFAMHNACAACVHRAVASCBAAROHSLBACPIHFCPHMARAVSCHGILAESLHESTASCPHSTCAALVHFAMANACHACVARAVH
Estrela da Amadora5thVSCAGILHFCPAMARHSTCAESLHSCPAALVHSCBANACHFAMARAVHACVAAROHCPIAMORHSLBAVSCHGILAFCPHMARASTCHESLA
Marítimo11thESLANACHSCPARAVHESTASCBHALVACPIAFAMHACVAAROHSLBAMORHGILHFCPAVSCHSTCAESLHNACASCPHRAVAESTHSCBAALVH

How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Moreirense, the clubs closest to it.

What we said

Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 1 of 2.

Moreirense's chances, result by result

Relegation
0%25%50%75%100%859095results in the tableRelegation: 14% after 81 results (to 2026-10-29)Relegation: 7% after 88 results (to 2026-11-02)Relegation: 7% after 90 results (to 2026-11-03)Relegation: 8% after 98 results (to 2026-11-09)

Head to head: who finishes above?

Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Moreirense finishes above its real rivals.

RivalMoreirense above
Santa Clara4%
Arouca5%
Gil Vicente7%
Académico de Viseu10%
Vitória SC13%
Famalicão18%
Alverca30%
Estrela da Amadora53%
Marítimo59%
Nacional75%
Casa Pia78%
Rio Ave79%
Estoril Praia83%

Almost always finishes below: Porto, Benfica, Sporting, Sporting de Braga