Contas da Bola EN

Porto

Out of 100 simulated seasons, Porto wins the title in 59 and finishes in the top two in 97.

This week: up 6 for the title (53 → 59 in 100), after beating Vitória SC 2–1.

33 points in 11 games.

Where Porto may finish

  • Champion59
  • Runner-up38
  • Champions qualifying3

Final points 86.3 (80–93)

The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.

Every final position, one by one
ChampionsChampions qualifyingEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation play-offRelegation
0%20%40%60%Position 1: 59%1Position 2: 38%2Position 3: 4%3Position 4: <1%4Position 5: <1%5Position 6: <1%6Position 7: <1%7Position 8: <1%8Position 9: <1%9Position 10: <1%10Position 11: <1%11Position 12: <1%12Position 13: <1%13Position 14: <1%14Position 15: <1%15Position 16: <1%16Position 17: <1%17Position 18: <1%18final position
Chance of each final position. An empty cell means less than 1 in 100.
Position123456789101112131415161718
Chance59%38%4%

Next matches

All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.

The run-in

Porto has 23 matches left, 12 at home. It is the 15th hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 45.8 points on average.

Rank1213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334
Porto15thSCPHSTCAESTHFAMANACHSCBAALVARAVHAROAACVHMORACPIHSLBAMARHGILHESLAVSCHSCPASTCHESTAFAMHNACASCBH
Benfica17thFAMHNACASCBHRAVASCPHAROAACVACPIHMORHESLAMARHGILAFCPHVSCASTCHALVAESTHFAMANACHSCBARAVHSCPAAROH
Sporting4thFCPAMARHGILAESLHSLBASTCHESTHVSCAALVARAVHNACAFAMHAROASCBHACVACPIHMORAFCPHMARAGILHESLASLBHSTCA
Sporting de Braga3rdCPIAAROHSLBAACVHMARAFCPHMORHGILAESTHVSCAALVHESLASTCHSCPANACHFAMARAVHCPIHAROASLBHACVAMARHFCPA

How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Porto, the clubs closest to it.

What we said

Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 2 of 2.

Porto's chances, result by result

Title
0%25%50%75%100%859095results in the tableTitle: 51% after 81 results (to 2026-10-29)Title: 56% after 88 results (to 2026-11-02)Title: 53% after 90 results (to 2026-11-03)Title: 59% after 98 results (to 2026-11-09)

Head to head: who finishes above?

Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Porto finishes above its real rivals.

RivalPorto above
Benfica59%
Sporting96%

Almost always finishes above: Sporting de Braga, Santa Clara, Arouca, Gil Vicente, Académico de Viseu, Vitória SC, Famalicão, Alverca, Moreirense, Estrela da Amadora, Marítimo, Nacional, Casa Pia, Rio Ave, Estoril Praia