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Santa Clara

Out of 100 simulated seasons, Santa Clara reaches Europe in 36.

This week: down 13 for Europe (49 → 36 in 100), after losing 1–2 to Gil Vicente.

21 points in 11 games.

Where Santa Clara may finish

  • Champions qualifying1
  • Europa League13
  • Conference League22
  • Mid-table64

Final points 51.0 (43–59)

The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.

Every final position, one by one
ChampionsChampions qualifyingEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation play-offRelegation
0%10%20%30%Position 1: <1%1Position 2: <1%2Position 3: <1%3Position 4: 13%4Position 5: 22%5Position 6: 19%6Position 7: 15%7Position 8: 11%8Position 9: 8%9Position 10: 5%10Position 11: 3%11Position 12: 2%12Position 13: 1%13Position 14: <1%14Position 15: <1%15Position 16: <1%16Position 17: <1%17Position 18: <1%18final position
Chance of each final position. An empty cell means less than 1 in 100.
Position123456789101112131415161718
Chance13%22%19%15%11%8%5%3%2%1%

Next matches

All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.

The run-in

Santa Clara has 23 matches left, 11 at home. It is the 6th hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 47.9 points on average.

Matches left, round by round: Santa Clara and the clubs closest to it
ClubRank1213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334
Santa Clara6thMORAFCPHESLAVSCHESTHSCPANACAACVHFAMAALVHRAVAAROHSCBACPIHSLBAMARHGILAMORHFCPAESLHVSCAESTASCPH
Arouca9thRAVHSCBAACVACPIHGILASLBHVSCHMORAFCPHMARAESLHSTCASCPHESTAALVHNACAFAMHRAVASCBHACVHCPIAGILHSLBA
Gil Vicente13thESLHESTASCPHALVAAROHNACARAVASCBHCPIAFAMHACVASLBHMARAMORHFCPAVSCASTCHESLAESTHSCPAALVHAROANACH
Académico de Viseu12thALVHFAMAAROHSCBAMORACPIHSLBHSTCAMARHFCPAGILHVSCAESTHESLASCPHRAVANACHALVAFAMHAROASCBHMORHCPIA

How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Santa Clara, the clubs closest to it.

What we said

Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 2 of 3.

Santa Clara's chances, result by result

Europe (1st–5th)
0%25%50%75%100%859095results in the tableEurope (1st–5th): 38% after 81 results (to 2026-10-29)Europe (1st–5th): 48% after 88 results (to 2026-11-02)Europe (1st–5th): 49% after 90 results (to 2026-11-03)Europe (1st–5th): 36% after 98 results (to 2026-11-09)

Head to head: who finishes above?

Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Santa Clara finishes above its real rivals.

Almost always finishes above: Marítimo, Nacional, Casa Pia, Rio Ave, Estoril Praia

Almost always finishes below: Porto, Benfica, Sporting