Contas da Bola EN

Sporting

Out of 100 simulated seasons, Sporting wins the title in 1 and finishes in the top two in 8.

This week: down 1 for the title (2 → 1 in 100), after beating Moreirense 1–0.

24 points in 11 games.

Where Sporting may finish

  • Champion1
  • Runner-up7
  • Champions qualifying87
  • Europa League4
  • Conference League1

Final points 72.3 (65–79)

The final points are the mean and, in brackets, the central 80% interval. European places as the league allocates them, without the cup.

Every final position, one by one
ChampionsChampions qualifyingEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation play-offRelegation
0%50%100%Position 1: 1%1Position 2: 7%2Position 3: 87%3Position 4: 4%4Position 5: <1%5Position 6: <1%6Position 7: <1%7Position 8: <1%8Position 9: <1%9Position 10: <1%10Position 11: <1%11Position 12: <1%12Position 13: <1%13Position 14: <1%14Position 15: <1%15Position 16: <1%16Position 17: <1%17Position 18: <1%18final position
Chance of each final position. An empty cell means less than 1 in 100.
Position123456789101112131415161718
Chance1%7%87%4%

Next matches

All these forecasts may still change: they lock 24 h before kick-off. Only the locked forecast counts towards our record.

The run-in

Sporting has 23 matches left, 11 at home. It is the 4th hardest run-in of 18: the opponents left finish the season on 48.3 points on average.

Rank1213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334
Porto15thSCPHSTCAESTHFAMANACHSCBAALVARAVHAROAACVHMORACPIHSLBAMARHGILHESLAVSCHSCPASTCHESTAFAMHNACASCBH
Benfica17thFAMHNACASCBHRAVASCPHAROAACVACPIHMORHESLAMARHGILAFCPHVSCASTCHALVAESTHFAMANACHSCBARAVHSCPAAROH
Sporting4thFCPAMARHGILAESLHSLBASTCHESTHVSCAALVARAVHNACAFAMHAROASCBHACVACPIHMORAFCPHMARAGILHESLASLBHSTCA
Sporting de Braga3rdCPIAAROHSLBAACVHMARAFCPHMORHGILAESTHVSCAALVHESLASTCHSCPANACHFAMARAVHCPIHAROASLBHACVAMARHFCPA

How hard each match is comes from the opponent's expected final points in the season simulation: very hard is one of the 3 strongest, easier one of the 6 weakest. With Sporting, the clubs closest to it.

What we said

Forecasts made before kick-off: our favourite was right in 2 of 2.

Sporting's chances, result by result

Title
0%25%50%75%100%859095results in the tableTitle: 3% after 81 results (to 2026-10-29)Title: 2% after 88 results (to 2026-11-02)Title: 2% after 90 results (to 2026-11-03)Title: 1% after 98 results (to 2026-11-09)

Head to head: who finishes above?

Out of 100 simulated seasons, how often Sporting finishes above its real rivals.

RivalSporting above
Porto4%
Benfica5%
Sporting de Braga97%

Almost always finishes above: Santa Clara, Arouca, Gil Vicente, Académico de Viseu, Vitória SC, Famalicão, Alverca, Moreirense, Estrela da Amadora, Marítimo, Nacional, Casa Pia, Rio Ave, Estoril Praia