98 results in, 208 matches to go. We played out the rest of the season 50,000 times to see where each club may finish.
Porto leads with 33 points, 5 points ahead of Benfica, and wins the title in 59 of every 100 seasons. Benfica gets 40.
Estoril Praia, with 2 points, goes down in 50 of every 100 seasons. Next come Rio Ave (43), Casa Pia (37) and Nacional (35). Nacional moved furthest from the drop this week (49 → 35).
Each bar is 100 simulated seasons, split by where the club finishes. Tap a club for the small numbers and its points.
Champion 1Runner-up 7Europa League 4Conference League 1
24 points now, 65 to 79 at the end. See the club →
20 points now, 42 to 57 at the end. See the club →
Europa League 3Conference League 7Relegation play-off 1
9 points now, 37 to 53 at the end. See the club →
Europa League 2Conference League 5Relegation play-off 1
13 points now, 36 to 51 at the end. See the club →
Conference League 2Relegation play-off 3Relegation 2
12 points now, 33 to 48 at the end. See the club →
Relegation play-off 8Relegation 8
14 points now, 29 to 43 at the end. See the club →
8 points now, 27 to 42 at the end. See the club →
10 points now, 23 to 37 at the end. See the club →
8 points now, 23 to 37 at the end. See the club →
7 points now, 22 to 36 at the end. See the club →
2 points now, 20 to 36 at the end. See the club →
Pick the result of one match, a whole round or the rest of the season, and watch this list change.
Pick the result of one match, a whole round or the rest of the season, and see what happens to the title, Europe and relegation.
Before you pick, the list shows all 50,000 simulations, as on the rest of the site. Once you pick a result it uses 20,000 of them, so a number can move by 1 or 2 for that reason alone.
Out of 100 simulated seasons, how many times each club finishes in each place. The brighter the card, the more likely.
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto | 59 | 38 | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Benfica | 40 | 55 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| Sporting | 1 | 7 | 87 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| Sporting de Braga | 3 | 55 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Santa Clara | 13 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Arouca | 9 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Gil Vicente | 8 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
| Académico de Viseu | 5 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
| Vitória SC | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Famalicão | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Alverca | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Moreirense | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | |||||
| Estrela da Amadora | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |||||
| Marítimo | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | ||||||
| Nacional | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 16 | ||||||||
| Casa Pia | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 19 | ||||||||
| Rio Ave | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 21 | 23 | ||||||||
| Estoril Praia | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 30 |